Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.732391 1.878987 2.034574 2.212398 2.410498 2.624955 2.875416
2025-12-14 1.492158 1.689554 1.910933 2.179077 2.497038 2.864473 3.324751
2025-12-21 1.308661 1.527115 1.781864 2.103666 2.503286 2.988497 3.630374
2025-12-28 1.211097 1.448892 1.735361 2.110335 2.594890 3.209346 4.062986
2026-01-04 1.141258 1.394680 1.708629 2.132526 2.699948 3.448188 4.535505
2026-01-11 1.085222 1.351186 1.688912 2.157745 2.805690 3.691438 5.033999
2026-01-18 1.035831 1.311269 1.668834 2.177816 2.902119 3.925890 5.540660
2026-01-25 0.986805 1.267625 1.639382 2.180587 2.971402 4.123970 6.010574
2026-02-01 0.926991 1.205250 1.579635 2.134991 2.964806 4.206254 6.304630
2026-02-08 0.878470 1.155211 1.533299 2.104256 2.975872 4.313355 6.646526
2026-02-15 0.840230 1.117115 1.501056 2.091058 3.010972 4.458649 7.065663
2026-02-22 0.821841 1.105764 1.505890 2.132661 3.133051 4.752519 7.776193
2026-03-01 0.787731 1.070693 1.475025 2.118938 3.167823 4.908512 8.264862
2026-03-08 0.753731 1.034106 1.439898 2.096141 3.185692 5.036871 8.718105
2026-03-15 0.710004 0.981131 1.377422 2.025967 3.118863 5.010340 8.865082
2026-03-22 0.688985 0.960936 1.363524 2.032638 3.182347 5.221255 9.514761
2026-03-29 0.672978 0.947423 1.358974 2.053853 3.271942 5.487460 10.316363
2026-04-05 0.658669 0.935732 1.356461 2.077903 3.367790 5.773893 11.204274
2026-04-12 0.644139 0.922961 1.351427 2.097035 3.455652 6.052761 12.118607
2026-04-19 0.626939 0.905225 1.337456 2.099676 3.512709 6.275170 12.936089
2026-04-26 0.601182 0.872965 1.298444 2.056217 3.479255 6.308807 13.299426
2026-05-03 0.579824 0.846890 1.268419 2.026917 3.470647 6.392955 13.801685
2026-05-10 0.562960 0.827384 1.248395 2.014333 3.493515 6.545931 14.506543